2013 predictions for the Texas political scene

Well, the new year is here. 2012 was an exciting year for me, personally and politically, and I can’t wait to see what lucky ’13 has to offer.

Here are a few things I predict will transpire this year:

  • Speaker Straus stays speaker. I’m a fan of Representative David Simpson’s principled, pull-no-punches style and sympathetic to the changes he wants to make to the speaker’s role, but I don’t think the frustration many hardcore conservatives feel is reflected in the Legislature. Though I certainly don’t foresee Simpson dropping out at the last minute like Straus’ challengers did last year, I doubt he will gain a majority of votes. I’ll be following the Texas Tribune’s interactive to see if the winds change.
  • A continually sucky economy. That fiscal cliff “compromise”? Yeah, that didn’t work out so well. With higher taxes coming for over 75% of Americans, not to mention the havoc Obamacare will undoubtedly wreak on businesses small and large, our nationwide economic downturn isn’t likely to right itself any time soon. Texas, of course, will be pretty much fine.
  • Re-redistricting. I’m cautiously optimistic about the upcoming Supreme Court cases on voter ID and the Voting Rights Act, but I have an inkling Texas’ current districts won’t be allowed to stand. Hold on to your hats, y’all.
  • Social issues win. Despite some high-profile Republicans losing their elections, the Texas Legislature is still very conservative. The “fetal pain” bill, which I assume is waiting on Senator-elect Donna Campbell’s swearing in to be filed, will pass with flying colors. There’s some dissension among conservative on school choice legislation, but I doubt it will face too much real opposition. I’m hoping campus carry will finally pass his time around as well.
  • At least one special session. Because what fun would life be if we got everything done on time?

In other news, I’m excited for two upcoming events I’ll be blogging about this month: the Texas Public Policy Foundation’s 11th Annual Policy Orientation and a RightOnline Social Media Bootcamp sponsored by Americans for Prosperity and Attorney General Greg Abbott.

Alas, the Policy Orientation is full (get on the waiting list here), but early bird registration for the Social Media Bootcamp just opened. Get on it!

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83rd Legislative Session: 10 bills I’m following

The first week of pre-filing for the 83rd Legislative Session is over, and there are already a number of high-profile bills in the works. After skimming the headlines and the already lengthy lists of House and Senate bills, here – in no particular order – are a few interesting or important ones I’m following. Perhaps surprisingly, I’m on the fence about most of them.

Drug testing for welfare recipients. Safety nets are there to catch people – temporarily. In Texas, we value self-sufficiency and design welfare programs to help those in unfortunate circumstances get back on their feet. Refusing benefits like Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (which can be used to pay for just about anything) to drug users is certainly a reasonable concept. First, it ensures taxpayer dollars are not used for illegal drugs. Second, it discourages behavior that will prevent people from becoming self-sufficient.

As with most legislative issues, this one is all about the money. The Dallas Morning News notes that Florida’s drug testing program cost more than it saved in denied benefits. This doesn’t take into account the Floridians who may not have applied because they knew they would fail the test, but it’s definitely worth considering. If Texas implements a similar policy, funding needs to be weighed carefully.

SB 11, Nelson

Repealing in-state tuition for illegal immigrants. I’ve written in support of in-state tuition before. I’ve always said it’s a policy I can live with, but not necessarily something I would advocate.

Honestly, I’m not sure where I stand this time. It’s a difficult ethical issue. Of course we want children who were brought here illegally through no fault of their own to become productive Americans. At the same time, we don’t want to incentivize illegal immigration. The bill to provide in-state tuition to certain illegal immigrants passed with overwhelming bipartisan support. It will be interesting to see if the tables turn in 2013.

HB 122, Larson

Prohibiting abortion-inducing drugs. If it isn’t already, Texas is well on its way to becoming the most pro-life state in the nation. (What can I say? We like being the best.) Once again, Senator Dan Patrick is leading the charge with this bill further limiting medical abortions.

SB 97, Patrick

Sales tax breaks for college textbooks. Among Senator Zaffirini’s 30-plus bills is one college students would love, making the textbook-buying process just a little less painful. She’s filed similar bills at least twice before, but they were lost among more pressing issues.

The bill has a few gaping holes, though. The exemption only lasts for two weeks each semester. This not only penalizes lazy bums students who purchase their books late, but also those who choose to get their books early so they can get a sense of what their classes will be like and arrange them several times on their bookshelf in alphabetical order, then height order, then class order. (Not that I’ve done this…) It also doesn’t apply to textbook rentals.

SB 46, Zaffirini

“Climate adaptation plans” for state agencies. Senator Rodney Ellis wants 11 state agencies to create new coalitions to address global warming.

Really. Because there aren’t any more pressing issues to discuss.

SB 78, Ellis

Protecting job applicants’ social media privacy. I don’t often promote Democrats’ bills, but I firmly believe Senator Chuy Hinojosa is on the right track with this bill, which would prohibit employers from accessing job applicants’ or employees’ social network accounts. It’s the 21st-century equivalent of demanding to read someone’s private emails or mail (something I hope most people would find outrageous).

Facebook, Twitter, Google+, et al have privacy settings for a reason. Facebook’s own policies state that users should not give out their passwords under any circumstances. It’s perfectly reasonable for employers to access public social media information, but demanding to see private content is not only intrusive, it could reveal information such as religion, political affiliation, or relationship status that could improperly influence hiring decisions.

SB 118, Hinojosa

Texting and driving. It’s baaaaack! It’s hard to tell people you’re against banning texting and driving. “But what about all the lives that could be saved?” they ask. And while it’s true that texting and driving is a really stupid thing to do, I don’t think the state should criminalize it for two reasons. One, the law already addresses distracted driving in general. Two, it’s almost unenforceable without serious privacy violations. Police officers could pull someone over for something as subtle as looking down or a glow from a screen at night. Without going through the person’s text messages – actually, all their apps – it would be next to impossible to know whether the person was actually texting or just typing in a phone number, adjusting their GPS, or checking the time, if they were using their phone at all.

If cities and towns want to ban texting and driving, that’s up to them. Several already have. But, in Governor Perry’s words, Texas should not micromanage competent adults’ behavior.

SB 28, Zaffirini / HB 27, Martinez Fischer / HB 41, Menendez / HB 63, Craddick / HB 69, Lucio / HB 108, Harless  

Combining driver’s licenses and concealed handgun licenses. This bill would allow CHL holders to opt for a special driver’s license rather than a separate CHL card. I definitely understand the concept of making the licensing process more efficient (and making it easier on licensees). Folks over at the Texas CHL Forum have expressed concern over privacy, but I think the idea has merit, particularly since it’s optional.

HB 158, Taylor

High school courses on the Constitution. This one’s a no-brainer. Students need to understand our country’s foundation and system of government, and your average high school history course doesn’t cut it. (Trust me, I know. Elvis Presley and Paul McCartney got far more coverage in my AP U.S. History book than the Declaration of Independence.)

HB 49, Flynn

And at least one yet to be filed: Concealed carry on campus. With Senator Jeff Wentworth defeated by my very favorite incoming legislator, Dr. Donna Campbell, it’s unclear who will author the Senate bill. Either way, you can be sure this issue will come up this session.

What bills are you following?

Elizabeth Ames Jones hops off the deep end

One of my professors likes to refer to this period of the political cycle as “the silly season.” But the latest news on the race for Texas’ SD 25 is beyond silly. It’s just ridiculous.

Last month, incumbent Sen. Jeff Wentworth questioned Elizabeth Ames Jones’ eligibility for the race.

When she filed last month to run for the state Senate, Texas Railroad Commission Chairwoman Elizabeth Ames Jones swore she was a resident of San Antonio.

The state Constitution, however, requires that railroad commissioners “reside at the capital of the state during (their) continuance in office.”

Now, state Sen. Jeff Wentworth, her opponent in the Republican primary, is accusing Jones of violating the Constitution by holding onto her office while claiming to live in both places at once.

Jones’ response? Desperate to save her political career after a failed shot at the U.S. Senate, she is now arguing that, well, if you really think about it, Austin isn’t actually the capital of Texas.

With all due respect, yeah, right.

If you read the article linked to above, you’ll find four problems with this argument:

  • If there’s one thing we can all agree on, wouldn’t it be that Austin has been the capital of Texas since the days of the Republic?
  • Doesn’t Attorney General Abbott have better things to do (Redistricting, or maybe ending Obamacare?) than settle a silly squabble like this?
  • What does it matter that Wentworth’s lawyer is a Democrat?
  • Even if somehow her claim was legitimate, would Jones have supported it if the tables were turned and it was Wentworth making the argument?

The legislature meets here. In the Capitol building. In Austin. As it has for Jones’ entire life, and more.

This is exactly what the American people hate about politics: gamesmanship based on saving careers, not helping constituents. The people we elect to be our representatives should be acting like adults and running on concrete policies and beliefs, not squabbling over obscure legal technicalities that are questionable at best.

To Commissioner Jones: Please stop grasping at straws. The rules apply to everyone.

To everyone reading this: Please vote for Dr. Donna Campbell – a real conservative and political outsider who is busy running on principles, not looking for loopholes.

The state Capitol (in Austin, of course)

More on SD 25:

Opportunism or linguistic loophole?

I’ve written before about why I don’t support Elizabeth Ames Jones for the Texas Senate. After abruptly abandoning a race she’d been pulling for for years to one more ostensibly winnable, I can’t help but question her reasoning and her commitment.

But there’s more.

Sen. Wentworth’s latest accusations are very, very interesting…

When she filed last month to run for the state Senate, Texas Railroad Commission Chairwoman Elizabeth Ames Jones swore she was a resident of San Antonio.

The state Constitution, however, requires that railroad commissioners “reside at the capital of the state during (their) continuance in office.”

Now, state Sen. Jeff Wentworth, her opponent in the Republican primary, is accusing Jones of violating the Constitution by holding onto her office while claiming to live in both places at once.

“You’ve got to pick one or the other,” said Wentworth, 71. “And she’s pretty well picked to run against me.

“She’s violating the Constitution by living somewhere other than the capital city and holding an office that requires her to live in the capital city.”

If Jones’ late-in-the-game race switch doesn’t make you squirm, this should. (For the record, I don’t support Jones or Wentworth. If I have anything to do with it, Dr. Donna Campbell will be a state senator this time next year.)

Claiming two residencies at once to run for an office in the city you used to live in is like a college upperclassman running for student government at a university he transferred out of freshman year. Even if by some linguistic loophole the term “reside” is flexible (I’m no expert, my understanding is it has a pretty narrow meaning), it’s at least a little fishy and undermines her integrity.

Calling someplace your home is a nice sentiment, but physically living there is a different story. Wouldn’t something go through your head when you sign that paperwork saying, “Hey, I don’t actually live here anymore”?

There is simply no way to live in two places at once – legally or in reality.

Beyond claiming it’s “absolutely ridiculous,” I’m interested to hear a fuller response from Jones.

More on the SD 25 race:

Redistricting, guns on campus, and Lloyd Doggett, oh my!

It’s been something of an eventful week in politics. Three issues have been foremost in my mind for the past few days:

Redistricting

One word: YES! Thank God the Supreme Court has seen sense and given the original maps a chance. Not only does this give some great conservative candidates a better shot, it’s the first step to getting the Voting Rights Act off Texas’ back.

Key dates:

  • Jan. 9: Oral arguments on the maps
  • March 6: Primary for president, Senate, State Board of Education, Railroad Commission, and other races not affected by redistricting
  • May 22: Primary for state House, state Senate, and the House of Representatives
  • ???: Nobody seems to know what the filing deadline situation is yet.

Having two primaries will probably minimize already low turnout for state elections, but I’m optimistic and more raring to go than ever.

If your head is still spinning, this post explains what comes next. Texas Redistricting is a great blog to follow to keep up with what’s happening.

Virginia Tech

It’s heartbreaking to see Virginia Tech University going through a second tragedy only four years after the infamous shooting of 2007. Gun control advocates will tell you that this strengthens their argument: Guns are bad. But in reality, it does exactly the opposite.

Guns can be used to kill people. But they can also save lives when in the hands of law-abiding, licensed adults. What if a student or professor at Virginia Tech, in 2007 or 2011, had their concealed weapon? How much carnage could have been prevented or stopped?

Signs, stickers, and social norms mean nothing to criminals and murderers. Expecting them to abide by so-called “gun-free zones” is like asking a barn cat to stop eating mice because it’s just not very nice. There is no logical reason to prohibit the lawful right to bear arms by CHL holders on college campuses. Restrictions against guns on campus are not only pointless, they actually endanger lives.

Having a handgun is not a guarantee of safety. But I, for one, would like the chance to prevent a tragedy like Virginia Tech or UT or, even on a smaller scale, tragedies like the rape of Amanda Collins. That chance is all we ask for.

I’ve been an advocate for concealed carry on campus for about a year now, and I can safely say there are few issues I feel more strongly about. To learn more and join the movement, visit Students for Concealed Carry on Facebook and Twitter.

Lloyd Doggett

This morning I attended Congressman Lloyd Doggett’s neighborhood office hours. It was quite fun lurking on the sidelines in my Donna Campbell shirt, perplexing everybody in line to talk to him. I didn’t get the chance to talk to Mr. Doggett, but I did get to meet this fine patriot outside.


It was almost hilarious to hear someone thank a policeman for being there to guard Doggett “after what happened last time.” Because, you know, my mom and I standing there with our Republican getup and Starbucks cups were so intimidating.

We’re totally the mob. Don’t tread on us, libs.